Model ofstats-pathb-1.0
How we estimate creator earnings
OnlyFans does not publish creator earnings. Any number you see on a stats site is an estimate. Ours shows its work.
1. Inputs (public signals only)
A human pastes or transcribes the public fields visible on a creator stats card — subscription price, posts, photos, videos, likes, and a listed or directory-estimated fan count. A reviewer checks it before it publishes. We never log in to OnlyFans, relay sessions, or crawl directories.
2. Fan proxy
| Priority | Signal | Method label |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Publicly listed fan/subscriber count | listed_or_source_estimate |
| 2 | Directory's own subscriber estimate (e.g. “~4.2K”) | listed_or_source_estimate |
| 3 | Likes ÷ posts (engagement proxy — wide uncertainty) | likes_per_post |
| — | None of the above | No earnings estimate; stats only |
3. Formula
gross_monthly = fan_proxy × subscribe_price (0 if free page) subs_only_low = gross_monthly × 0.8 × 0.35 (creator share × low retention) subs_only_high = gross_monthly × 0.8 × 0.85 with_ppv_low = subs_only_low × 1 with_ppv_high = subs_only_high × 3 (scenario only — PPV/tips are not observable)
Defaults: creator share 80% (platform keeps ~20%), paying retention 35%–85%, PPV/tips multiplier ×1–3. If the subscription price is unknown we withhold the band instead of guessing.
4. Worked example
~4,200 fans × $10/mo = $42,000 gross → × 80% × 35–85% = $11,760 – $28,560 / month subscriptions-only; with the PPV/tips scenario up to $85,680. See it live on Hellcat Blondie's page.
5. Confidence
| medium | Known price + listed or directory fan count |
| low | Free page, missing price, or likes/posts proxy only |
| very low | Sparse fields — we show stats and skip earnings |
6. What we can't see
- PPV, tips, and paid-message revenue (often the majority of top creators' income)
- Free-trial and discount pricing, bundles, and promo churn
- Refunds, chargebacks, taxes, and agency splits
That is why every estimate is a band, and why real earnings can differ by several times.
7. Directory claims
When another directory publishes an “earns” figure, we quote it in a separate dashed box with attribution. We never average it with our band or back-solve prices from it.
8. Freshness, corrections, removal
Snapshots expire 72 hours after capture and are labeled stale after that. Creators can confirm their real price/stats or request removal via DMCA / removal or contact.
Educated estimate from public signals, not OnlyFans official data. PPV, tips, and message revenue are not publicly observable; free trials and discounts break sticker-price math; real earnings may differ by several times. Not financial advice. Not affiliated with OnlyFans.